Ultimate Texas Holdem Casino Odds

  1. Ultimate Texas Holdem Online Game
  2. Texas Holdem Casino Table Game
  3. Ultimate Texas Holdem Odds Calculator
  4. Ultimate Texas Holdem Table Game

Texas Hold'em is a popular form of poker played at online casinos and in-person casinos around the world. Check out our guide to Texas Hold'em rules, learn strategy, important terminology and how to play your hands.

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Introduction


Casino Hold 'Em is a poker variation, similar to Texas Hold 'Em, that is played in Egypt, Russia, South Africa, Holland, Latvia, Estonia, Ireland, Morocco, Malta, Ukraine, Panama, and Romania. It is also available to play online at casinos using Net Gaming, Real Time Gaming, Playtech, Gamesys, and Galewind Software.

The game also goes by the name Casino Hold 'Em Open. Under this name, the rules are the same except the player hole cards are dealt face up. In normal Casino Hold 'Em they are dealt face down.

Rules


The rules are as follows.

  1. Play begins with each player making an Ante wager. There is also an optional Progressive Jackpot side bet.
  2. The dealer gives the player and himself two hole cards and three community cards face up on the table.
  3. Each player must decide to either fold or call. If the player folds, then he gives up his cards and his Ante bet. If the player calls, then the Call bet must be equal to two times the Ante bet.
  4. The dealer will then deal two more community cards, for a total of five. The dealer will then turn over his own two cards.
  5. Both hands shall be scored according the highest poker value of the two hole cards and five community cards.
  6. The dealer must have a pair of fours or better to qualify. If the dealer does not qualify then the Ante will pay according to the Ante pay table below and the Call bet will push.
  7. If the dealer qualifies and beats the player, then the player will lose both the Ante and Call.
  8. If the dealer qualifies and the player beats the dealer then the Ante will pay according to the Ante pay table below and the Call bet will pay 1 to 1.
  9. If the dealer qualifies and the player ties the dealer then both Ante and Call bets will push.
  10. The Progressive Jackpot side bet pays based on the player's final seven card hand only, even if the player folded or loses to the dealer. More on this bet at the bottom of the page.

Ante Pay Table

HandTable 1Table 2Table 3Table 4
Royal flush 2025100100
Straight flush 20252049
4 of a kind 10121017
Full house 3333
Flush 2222
All other 1111

Caribbean Hold 'Em Warning


Be warned that Realtime Gaming has an imitation of this game called Caribbean Hold 'Em. However, they pay 1 to 1 on the Ante if the dealer doesn't qualify, as opposed to the full Ante Bonus pay table. Nowhere is this rule change disclosed in their game rules, I might add.

Analysis

Ultimate Texas Holdem Casino Odds

The following table shows the number of combination, probability, and contribution to the return of all possible outcomes under ante pay table 3, which I'm told is the most frequently used. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 2.16%.

Return Table — Pay Table 3Expand

HandPaysCombinationsProbabilityReturn
Player wins with royal flush1027362590400.0000260.002700
Player has royal flush, dealer doesn't qualify1001198929600.0000040.000431
Player wins with straight flush2260011222840.0002160.004747
Player has straight flush, dealer doesn't qualify2010896728280.0000390.000784
Player wins with four of a kind12414198965520.0014890.01787
Player has four of a kind, dealer doesn't qualify109094993200.0000330.000327
Player wins with full house55895050376600.0211950.105973
Player wins with flush45051314195800.0181610.072645
Player wins with straight or less364266700165720.231060.693181
Player has full house, dealer doesn't qualify3246016768320.0008850.002654
Player has flush, dealer doesn't qualify21688835364320.0060720.012144
Player has straight or less, dealer doesn't qualify155213762191480.1985120.198512
Tie06785969165800.0243980
Player folds-150090671026000.180093-0.180093
Player loses-388397017556120.317817-0.953451
Total278138100240001-0.021576

The following return table is four pay table 4. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 0.35%. This pay table can be found at Internet casinos using Gamesys N.V. software titled 'Casino Hold 'Em with Zero House Edge.' As you can see, the 'Zero House Edge' part is a misnomer. The player must pay a 10% commission on any net gambling win per session. A 'session' ends after a period of one hour with no bet or 24 hours, whichever happens first.

The owner of Casino Hold 'Em wishes for me to state that Gamesys N.V. is using his game without permission.

Return Table — Pay Table 4Expand

HandPaysCombinationsProbabilityReturn
Player wins with royal flush 102 736,259,040 0.000026 0.002700
Player has royal flush, dealer doesn't qualify 100 119,892,960 0.000004 0.000431
Player wins with straight flush 51 6,031,161,932 0.000217 0.011059
Player has straight flush, dealer doesn't qualify 49 1,096,758,936 0.000039 0.001932
Player wins with four of a kind 19 41,421,337,056 0.001489 0.028295
Player has four of a kind, dealer doesn't qualify 17 909,634,104 0.000033 0.000556
Player wins with full house 5 589,638,417,816 0.021199 0.105997
Player wins with flush 4 505,727,272,920 0.018183 0.072730
Player wins with straight or less 3 6,429,871,396,516 0.231175 0.693526
Player has full house, dealer doesn't qualify 3 24,601,738,176 0.000885 0.002654
Player has flush, dealer doesn't qualify 2 169,051,416,912 0.006078 0.012156
Player has straight or less, dealer doesn't qualify 1 5,526,154,486,512 0.198684 0.198684
Tie 0 679,763,871,140 0.024440 0.000000
Player folds -1 4,984,375,678,920 0.179205 -0.179205
Player loses -3 8,854,310,701,060 0.318342 -0.955027
Total 27,813,810,024,000 1.000000 -0.003511

I would like to thank Stephen How of Discount Gambling for supplying the combinations in pay table 4.

The only pay tables fully analyzed are 3 and 4, because it takes my computer about a month to cycle through all possible combinations. However, assuming the player was following optimal strategy under pay table 3 but playing under pay table 1 or 2, the house edge under pay table 1 would be 2.40%, and under pay table 2 would be 1.96%. The actual house edge under pay tables 1 and 2 would be slightly less or equal to these figures.

Strategy


Unfortunately, there is no easy way to quantify optimal strategy for this game. I can say that the optimal strategy player will raise 82% of the time. So only in the worst 18% of hands should the player fold. In general these are when the player has two singletons in the hole that are low compared to the flop, with little or no chance for a straight or flush.

Side Bets


Ultimate texas holdem odds calculator

The only side bet I am aware of for this game is known as the AA+. It pays based on the poker value of the player's hand after the flop. There are three known pay tables, as follows:

AA+ Pay Tables

HandPay Table 1Pay Table 2Pay Table 3
Royal Flush 25100100
Straight flush 255050
4 of a kind 254040
Full house 253030
Flush 252020
Straight 7710
Three of a kind 778
Two pair 777
Pair of aces 777
House edge 6.40%6.26%2.97%

Pay tables 1 and 2 can be found in land casinos. Pay table 3 is used by Internet casinos using Gamesys software.

As an example, following is the full return table for Pay Table 1.

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AA+ Side Bet — Pay Table 1

HandPaysCombinationsProbabilityReturn
Royal Flush2540.0000020.000038
Straight flush25360.0000140.000346
4 of a kind256240.0002400.006002
Full house2537440.0014410.036014
Flush2551080.0019650.049135
Straight7102000.0039250.027473
Three of a kind7549120.0211280.147899
Two pair71235520.0475390.332773
Pair of aces7844800.0325050.227537
Other-123163000.891241-0.891241
Total25989601-0.064023

Progressive Jackpot


The Progressive Jackpot bet shall pay based on the player's two hole cards and the five community cards only. It does not matter whether or not the player folds or loses to the dealer. In the event of a straight flush or royal flush on the board, all players who made the Progressive Jackpot bet shall split the win.

The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for each event. Obviously, the return from the top two awards will depend on the jackpot size, so are treated as unknowns.

Progressive Jackpot

HandPaysCombinationsProbabilityReturn
Royal flush Jackpot 4,324 0.000032 x
Straight flush 10% of Jackpot 37,260 0.000279 y
4 of a kind $100.00 224,848 0.001681 0.168100
Full house $10.00 3,473,184 0.025961 0.259610
Other $0.00 130,044,944 0.972047 0.000000
Total $0.00 133,784,560 1.000000 0.487931+x+y

The table above shows the fixed wins return 42.77% of the amount bet. Assuming the player is playing alone, for every $1,000 in the meter the return will increase by 6.02%. Under the same assumption, the break-even point is $9,503.22. Due to jackpot sharing, the return will go down slightly according to the number of other players making the bet.

Jumbo Jackpot


There is another progressive jackpot called the 'Jumbo Jackpot.' The following table shows the wins, probabilities and the contribution to the return for each type of winning hand.

Jumbo Jackpot

HandPaysCombinationsProbabilityReturn
7-card straight flush ? 32 0.00000024 x
6-card straight flush $5,000.00 752 0.00000562 0.028105
5-card straight flush $250.00 40,800 0.00030497 0.076242
4 of a kind $50.00 224,848 0.00168067 0.084034
Full house $5.00 3,473,184 0.02596102 0.129805
Flush $4.00 4,047,644 0.03025494 0.121020
Straight $2.00 6,180,020 0.04619382 0.092388
Other $0.00 119,817,280 0.89559871 0.000000
Total $0.00 133,784,560 1.00000000 0.531593

The return for the top award depends on the amount in the jackpot. I can say that all the other wins return 53.16% of money bet. For every 100,000 bet units in the meter the return increases by 2.39%. At a jackpot of $1,958,300.75 the return reaches 100%.

Progressive Jackpot Side Bet

There is yet another side bet based on the player's first two cards and the three-card flop. I put information about it in my page titled Casino Hold Em Progressive Jackpot Side Bet'.

Casino Razz Bonus

I believe this side bet pays according to the poker value of the player's two hole cards and the three cards on the flop -- the lower the poker value, the more it pays. For all the rules and analysis, please see my page on Casino Razz Bonus.

Methodology


The above analysis was performed using a brute force combinatorial program that analyzed all 27,813,810,024,000 possible outcomes, and played every hand according to optimal player strategy. It took my computers about a month to crank though the 27.8 trillion hands.

External Links


The web site for Casino Hold'em, as well as other games, is www.casinopokergames.com.

There is a good Casino Hold 'Em calculator at beatingbonuses.com.

Ultimate Texas Hold'Em
TypeCommunity card poker
Players2+, usually 2–9
Skills requiredProbability, psychology, game theory, strategy
Cards52
DeckFrench
PlayClockwise
Card rank (highest first)A K Q J 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2
Random chanceMedium

Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em (also known as Ultimate Texas holdem and Ultimate Texas Hold'em) is registered trademark of Bally Gaming, Inc. and refers to a reinvented variant of the classic poker game Texas hold 'em. In this variation, the player does not compete against other players. Instead, they play only against the dealer. At any point during the course of the hand, the player is free to make one raise. In this poker-based game (community cards), the earlier the raise is made, the higher its value is.

The game begins with the player making a blind bet and an ante. They are also provided with an optional Trips side which allows them to acquire a payout whether their hand loses or wins. Ultimate Texas Hold 'em is different from other poker-based games in the sense that the ante still remains in play even after the players made a raise and even if the dealer does not open.[1]

Objective[edit]

The format of Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em is similar to other variants of poker available in most casinos and online poker sites. The player and the dealer will both get two cards. The player will then be allowed to look at his cards and decide if he wishes to check or raise four times the ante. Another option available to the player is raising three times. If the player decides to raise at any point during the hand, the action will end from his end.

After deciding to raise, the player will be shown three cards which are referred to as the “flop”. The other players who did not raise before the flop will be given the choice to raise twice the ante. Another option available for the player would be checking.After the table has resolved the post-flop betting, the last two cards will be revealed. By this time, the players will be required to either match their ante or fold. After this, the dealer will reveal his two cards and grade the hand. In order for the dealer to qualify, he must possess at least a paired board. The ante pushes if the dealer fails to qualify. The same is true even in a scenario where the player possesses a hand that loses to the dealer. On the other hand, if the dealer qualifies, the one who wins the ante bet will be the player with the best hand.

Despite the dealer’s disqualification, the raises and the blind will still remain in play. Meanwhile, if the dealer beats the player, the blind bet and the raise will both lose. On the other hand, if the player beats the dealer, their raise will be matched. Ties push both the raise and the blind bet.

History[edit]

Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em was developed by Roger Snow of Bally Gaming, Inc. (formerly Shuffle Master). It is one of the newest variations of the poker game and is currently widely popular among US casinos. It is one of the most in-demand niche table games in casinos in Las Vegas and many other states.[2]

Initially, Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em was only available on multi-player electronic machines. However, through the years, its popularity increased and some casinos decided to pick it up and expand it, turning it into a table game.[3][4]

Rules[edit]

Ultimate Texas Holdem Online Game

Like the common poker game formats, Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em is played with a single, regular 52-card deck. Towards the end of the game, the dealer and the players left use any combination from their own two cards and the five community cards in order to come up with the best possible hand for themselves. The dealer will only be able to open if they possess at least a paired board. The play, ante, and blind bets are graded, depending on who wins, and whether the dealer will open. The table below illustrates the scoring guidelines.

Texas Holdem Casino Table Game

WinnerDealer OpensPlayAnteBlinds
PlayerYesWinWinWin
PlayerNoWinPushWin
DealerYesLoseLoseLose
DealerNoLosePushLose
TieYes or NoPushPushPush

Winning play and ante bets are rewarded 1 to 1. Look at the table below to learn how winning blind bets are paid out.

PLAYER HANDPayout
Royal Flush500 to 1
Straight Flush50 to 1
Four of a Kind10 to 1
Full House3 to 1
Flush3 to 2
Straight1 to 1
All otherPush

Ultimate Texas Holdem Odds Calculator

On the other hand, the payout for trips bets depends on the value of the player’s hand – regardless of the value of the hand possessed by the dealer.

References[edit]

  1. ^'Ultimate Texas Hold 'Em® - Wizard of Odds'. wizardofodds.com. Retrieved April 30, 2016.
  2. ^'Ultimate Texas Hold'em: Advanced Guide, Statistics & Odds'. Hityah.com. Retrieved April 30, 2016.
  3. ^'Ultimate Texas Hold'em'(PDF). oag.ca.gov. Retrieved March 17, 2016.
  4. ^Sortal, Nick (March 14, 2016). 'Gambling Dead at Florida Legislature but Will Be Stronger Next Year'. New Times Broward-Palm Beach. Retrieved March 17, 2016.

External links[edit]

Ultimate Texas Holdem Table Game

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